A colleague mildly chastised Yours Truly for being a bit rough on the ‘new’ Microsoft/AARP study:
I think the guy offered some thought-provoking possibilities about how we might adopt and adapt some technologies in the future: nothing earth-shattering, but slightly value-added.
Colleague correct. Anybody interested should download the study. It’s worth a read.
What I said about it all:
AARP & Microsoft: Technology & Baby Boomers
… Let’s see how some of their findings stack up to what NostraChuckus has been prophesying for years … NostraChuckus predicts that in a future post he will predict what they’re probably wrong about.
As the almost errorless Soothsayer predicted, here it is.
Digital Fitness. Boomers will wear sensor-equipped exercise clothing to keep track of their physical condition during workouts, their calories burned—and upload it all to an online record. Even their running shoes will contain sensors and GPS to provide additional data. Their mobile devices may even be set to (gently) remind them when they're falling behind on their exercise routines.
I wonder if most of the above won’t get tired fast. How biofeedback-onic do you really want to be while taking a walk in the woods or playing some doubles?
And beepers going off to tell you you’re a lazybones? It sounds like fun once or twice, but pretty soon some sweats or tennis attaire will be all you’ll put on. Being wired like a android and having to perform at specific levels every minute while you’re ‘playing’ could cause a slew of new anxiety afflictions.
Of course, there will always be a few obsessive-compulsives.
Chip Me, Doc. Once Boomers are confident about security and privacy, they will be early adopters of electronic health records—many would even choose to have them implanted as tiny chips. And they'll start keeping their own records online, using digital diagnostic devices to upload their weight, blood pressure, cholesterol, even the results of a mini-EKG.
Is this news? Already Boomers are all over Web MD and scores of other medical sites. I belong to one where I can keep track of the few drugs I take and lets me know of any contraindications. (And, interestingly enough, the site offers to transfer my ‘medical history’ to Microsoft’s HealthVault.)
Actually, it’s doctors, hospital administrators, and generally anybody involved in the medical industry that are pushing for computerized records. All generations will be beneficiaries (or have their privacy compromised – depending on your point of view).
Social Networks. For boomers, social networks will become as commonplace as the telephone—particularly to link them into the lives of their children and grandchildren in a way that's unobtrusive yet meaningful. And personal videoconferencing will be commonplace: High-definition video cameras on the big screen in the living room will enable regular family-to-family chats.
I guess I’m confused. What is a ‘social network’? This sounds to me like ‘calling grandma and grandpa’ forty years ago, where we all passed the phone around. How is that social networking?
And didn’t I blog about this in 2006? The ‘high-definition’ part is new. That’s about it.
Confused again. Won’t everybody be using “motion-sensing consoles rather than old-fashioned game controllers”? What exactly is the startling prediction here?
No mention of brain games. My guess is that Boomers will continue to play cutting-edge video games, but most will want to exercise their gray matter when doing so. Sure, they’ll play virtual tennis – but for some reason I bet they’ll prefer real tennis. Wriggling, twisting, and swinging your arms around in front of some newfangled contraption can be diverting – but spending your entire life entangled in virtual reality just doesn’t seem like much of a life to me.
And it could be embarrassing. It’s a mark of honor to sustain a sports injury, but I’d feel rather silly if I were limping about and had to tell everyone, “I fell over while Wii-ing …”
Employment, Boomer Style. Boomers who are past the 9-to-5 routine but still working part-time will become the masters of tele-presence: videoconferencing with HD and surround sound.
Again – this probably will be standard-issue business practice for all generations. Variations have been ‘foretold’ by numerous futurists.
Parents. Boomers will lead the aging-in-place movement with their own parents, wiring their parents' homes with smart sensors that monitor motion, power usage, average conversation levels and footstep patterns, and that send regular updates that all is well—or suggest the boomer check in to make sure the parents are OK.
Some monitoring will take place (it is taking place) but keeping track of every burp and twitch … I’m not so sure.
Home, Green Home. The boomer dream home will have a full solar roof, plus energy monitoring that lets residents tailor their usage to maximum efficiency. Domestic robots will be increasingly common appliances, and in new homes, designers will make kitchens and floor plans "robot-friendly."
Key phrase: dream house. It sounds good. Let’s hope all this will someday be available and affordable for everybody. Microsoft, of course, has been pushing this stuff since 2000.
Maybe I expected fresher insights from two influential corporate forces.
Update Dec 9 2009 Great post from Laurie Orlov (even if she does join in to chastise me a bit):